Financial Services
Our comprehensive set of baseline forecasts and suite of economic models allows us to support financial institutions across a range of activities, including baseline forecasts for strategy/asset allocation purposes, developing a range of alternative-to-baseline forecasts for IFRS9 accounts-reporting purposes, and developing bespoke stress testing scenarios for regulatory compliance.
Our comprehensive set of baseline forecasts and suite of economic models allows us to support financial institutions across a range of activities, including baseline forecasts for strategy/asset allocation purposes, developing a range of alternative-to-baseline forecasts for IFRS9 accounts-reporting purposes, and developing bespoke stress testing scenarios for regulatory compliance.
Regular analysis and commentary on economic events, market shifts, emerging trends, and policy changes.
Forecasts of exchange rates for major currency crosses and for all currencies against the US dollar.
A deep portfolio of forecast databanks, with projections by quarter and by year out to 25 years and software that simplifies data selection, trend analysis, visualisation and export.
A sovereign and currency risk framework that analyses the vulnerability of cross-border investments and trade, providing an impartial, informed view of a country’s fundamentals and its ability to repay debts.
Thematic research on key macroeconomic issues including monetary policy, fiscal policy, investment strategy, and trade.
Customised research programs providing strategic insights on business operations, including how banks connect with customers, maximize the value of emerging technologies, address virtual currencies, and remain competitive in an ever-shifting business landscape.
Support for compliance with the new IFRS9 accounting regulatory framework including the provision of baseline and alternative-to-baseline projections that are spread across the probability distribution.
Provision of downside scenarios for stress testing. Using our Global Economic Model, we can develop bespoke, extreme downside scenarios that can be used as inputs to the stress testing process. These scenarios can be developed with the bank, or can be built out to align with scenarios provided by the financial regulator.
HOW FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS USE OUR ANALYSIS

Stress testing and scenarios. With over 30 years of experience producing independent forecasts and scenarios, our macro-modelling and scenario planning solutions are designed to meet the stress-testing requirements of domestic and international regulators.
Investment banking. Our macroeconomic and asset price forecasts together with thematic and securities focused research are used by advisory and trading teams to support specific transactions and trading strategies.
Crossborder lending and trade finance. Our sovereign and currency risk metrics, based on an impartial view of fundamentals, are used to structure and price commercial loans and trade finance transactions.
Commercial and corporate banking. Lending teams use our country, regional and industry level monitoring to inform lending decisions.
Retail banking. We provide retail banks with country, regional and city level forecasting and analysis on areas such as house prices, income and unemployment to support their underwriting and risk management decisions.
Corporate planning. Our baseline forecasts and scenarios for key macroeconomic variables including interest rates, inflation and unemployment are used by banks to inform the annual planning and strategy process.